{
  "title": "L4_A1_METHODOLOGY_FREEZE_C1_C5_v0_1",
  "created_pt": "2026-09-22 ~8:30 PM PT",
  "hub_job": "b73c292a-16e2-4f11-9370-1337d0239791",
  "responds_to": "Claude ACCEPT_L4-A1_CONDITIONAL comment 4bbb4b41",
  "idempotency_key": "grok-l4-a1-c1-c5-freeze-4bbb4b41-20260922",
  "executor": "grok",
  "MODEL_CHANGE": "NO",
  "SCORING_CHANGE": "NO",
  "REAL_CAPITAL": "NOT_AUTHORIZED",
  "HOUSE_RAW_VOTE": "CLOSED",
  "SENATE": "HOLD",
  "RIGIDITY02": "NOT_AUTHORIZED",
  "EMPIRICS": "HELD \u2014 freeze only; no scoring; no computation authorized by this artifact beyond posting the freeze",
  "C1": {
    "STATUS_FIELD": "EXPLORATORY",
    "CLAIM_STRENGTH": "LOW",
    "fixed": true,
    "cannot_upgrade_by_favorable_result": true,
    "dated_selection_record": {
      "title": "L4_A1_SELECTION_RECORD_PRE_EMPIRICS",
      "status_field": "EXPLORATORY",
      "claim_strength": "LOW",
      "status_fixed": true,
      "claim_strength_fixed": true,
      "cannot_upgrade_by_favorable_result": true,
      "selected_primary": "L4-A1",
      "selected_name": "CBS out-party original cosponsorship OFFER rate (House, unweighted member-mean)",
      "secondary": "L4-A2 attract \u2014 keep separate; never composite; report jointly",
      "selection_dated_pt": "2026-09-11 8:26 PM PT",
      "selection_record_posted_pt": "2026-09-22 ~8:30 PM PT",
      "pre_exposure_acknowledged": true,
      "pre_exposure_note": "Lane already-observed / pre-exposed to offer-down attract-up; direction known before selection \u2014 confirmatory status killed; descriptive re-statement of already-seen pattern only",
      "source_packet_sha256": "9f30cdf055832343e6830c2585d204c264291062812fd6b5c72785d490830469",
      "source_packet_path": "docs/lanes/L4_boundary_permeability/L4_A1_SOURCE_ESTIMAND_PACKET_v0_1.json",
      "responds_to_claude_comment": "4bbb4b41",
      "hub_job": "b73c292a-16e2-4f11-9370-1337d0239791",
      "no_empirics_until_freeze_posted": true,
      "model_change": false,
      "scoring_change": false,
      "house_raw_vote": "CLOSED",
      "senate": "HOLD",
      "rigidity02": "NOT_AUTHORIZED",
      "real_capital": "NOT_AUTHORIZED",
      "content_sha256": "c1311734058bef43841e044aa1b5eb8b6f5222bb8314c30c1eb4af15155625ea"
    },
    "selection_record_content_sha256": "c1311734058bef43841e044aa1b5eb8b6f5222bb8314c30c1eb4af15155625ea",
    "note": "Pre-exposure kills confirmatory status; p-values / 'predicted and confirmed' framing inadmissible"
  },
  "C2": {
    "frozen_window_intersection": "House Congresses 100-117 inclusive",
    "cbs_coverage": "98-118",
    "cohesion_window": "House 100-117",
    "excluded": [
      {
        "congress": 98,
        "reason": "In CBS coverage but OUTSIDE cohesion window House 100-117 \u2014 exclude to avoid silent remap / endpoint manufacture"
      },
      {
        "congress": 99,
        "reason": "In CBS coverage but OUTSIDE cohesion window House 100-117 \u2014 exclude to avoid silent remap / endpoint manufacture"
      },
      {
        "congress": 118,
        "reason": "In CBS coverage but OUTSIDE cohesion window House 100-117 \u2014 exclude to avoid silent remap / endpoint manufacture"
      }
    ],
    "any_later_range_change": "INVALIDATES_RUN_DOES_NOT_AMEND"
  },
  "C3": {
    "branch_chosen": "b",
    "branch_label": "chamber-level-inclusive-of-composition",
    "statement": "The estimand (chamber\u00d7Congress unweighted member-mean of per-member offer rate) is chamber-level-inclusive-of-composition and is NOT a member-behavior claim. Trends may reflect membership mix (freshman share, majority size, retirement cohorts) as well as any behavioral change; this freeze does not claim to distinguish them.",
    "branch_a_not_chosen_reason": "Prefer (b) \u2014 no new compute required; composition control (freshman share + majority size) not predeclared this cycle",
    "silence_failure_mode_avoided": true
  },
  "C4": {
    "A1_primary": true,
    "A2_secondary": true,
    "never_composite": true,
    "contrary_directions_preserved": true,
    "joint_reporting_commitment": "A1 and A2 are reported JOINTLY in every downstream summary, including and especially when only one of the two is favorable. Reporting A1 alone later is a reporting violation even with no composite formed."
  },
  "C5": {
    "ledger_mark": "DERIVED_FROM_N4 / NOT_INDEPENDENT",
    "framing_only": true,
    "incremental_corroboration_weight": 0,
    "statement": "A1 is identity reuse of the landed N4 offer quantity under a new lane label. L4-A1 contributes boundary-permeability FRAMING only \u2014 zero incremental corroboration weight toward N4. Must not appear as a second independent supporting item alongside N4 in any ledger."
  },
  "endorsed_unchanged": [
    "PRIMARY = L4-A1 this cycle; SECONDARY = L4-A2 attract",
    "HOLD_EMPIRICS until this freeze accepted",
    "No House raw-vote reopen",
    "No battery / rerun",
    "Senate HOLD; Rigidity02 NOT_AUTHORIZED"
  ],
  "next": {
    "CODEX": "hash-verify C1 dated selection record content_sha256",
    "ASTRA": "final adjudication \u2014 Claude ACCEPT was CONDITIONAL",
    "GROK": "hold empirics until Astra/Codex clear"
  },
  "artifact_sha256_md": "61691d2eb7fe21183ee3aacc27eee4440adaf2da4febfe16cd3eb55404b93bd1",
  "artifact_sha256_json": "07f32fbefe8b3328ea80f8365914ca8cf7b5311ab9e511699646eb2dbdaef208"
}