{
  "branch": "ELECTION-01",
  "created_utc": "2026-09-10T02:00:00Z",
  "entries": [
    {
      "id": "A000",
      "at": "2026-09-10T02:00:00Z",
      "type": "protocol_draft",
      "status": "OPEN",
      "note": "Initial protocol draft + integrity incorporation; no fitting; no outcome inspection",
      "protocol_fields_sha256": "5833965da9b9790ebb657029ba69cb248ab51d2ea359ecc518451b504a5e584f",
      "integrity_contract_sha256": "145046ff15faa3f6d71e07c817f1d68b4a8addcd7bafea6dbb98a44a0ba4227b"
    },
    {
      "id": "A002",
      "at": "2026-09-10T03:29:29Z",
      "type": "availability_matrix_progress",
      "status": "OPEN",
      "note": "House Clerk outcome PDFs VERIFIED for all 15 cycles; FEC/MIT/ANES differentiated; polls/ALFRED/Voteview OPEN; eligible UNDECIDED; no fitting; FTE reject reconfirmed",
      "prior_entry_sha256": "2a9f8989281d388c377afc8ce089fbd49af3f074c8cf9625b1f8f21be5c13793",
      "cycles_advanced": 15,
      "protocol_fields_sha256_v011": "492a32342c47a582a763baeed0fa7aacc36f311b77cb83f78df4d3df93f4f2ec",
      "integrity_contract_sha256": "145046ff15faa3f6d71e07c817f1d68b4a8addcd7bafea6dbb98a44a0ba4227b"
    },
    {
      "id": "A003",
      "at": "2026-09-10T04:11:59Z",
      "type": "poll_archive_availability_progress",
      "status": "OPEN",
      "note": "Poll publisher archives advanced only: Marist release-date examples \u2264T\u221260 for 2024; PollingReport field-date cycle pages HTTP200 for 2000/2004/2008/2012/2016/2020/2024; Gallup/Pew date metadata; FTE HTML-as-CSV REJECT reconfirmed; Pollster API dead; eligible_strict_PIT UNDECIDED; S1/E2 exploratory PARKED; no fitting; MODEL_CHANGE=NO",
      "cycles_advanced": 15,
      "poll_sources_added": [
        "Marist_Poll_publisher",
        "Gallup_publisher",
        "PollingReport_com",
        "Pew_Research_publisher_releases",
        "HuffPost_Pollster_API"
      ],
      "integrity_contract_sha256": "145046ff15faa3f6d71e07c817f1d68b4a8addcd7bafea6dbb98a44a0ba4227b"
    },
    {
      "id": "A004",
      "at": "2026-09-10T12:45:00Z",
      "type": "poll_archive_release_date_deepening",
      "status": "OPEN",
      "note": "Deepened publisher release-date PIT evidence only: Marist 2016/2020/2024; Quinnipiac 2024-08-29; Pew 2020-08-13; Gallup 2020 datePublished; PollingReport 1992/1996 HTTP404; FTE REJECT reconfirmed; eligible_strict_PIT UNDECIDED; S1/E2 PARKED; no fitting; MODEL_CHANGE=NO",
      "cycles_with_new_release_examples": [
        2016,
        2020,
        2024
      ],
      "sources_touched": [
        "Marist_Poll_publisher",
        "Quinnipiac_University_Poll",
        "Pew_Research_publisher_releases",
        "Gallup_publisher",
        "PollingReport_com",
        "FiveThirtyEight_president_polls_historical_csv_endpoint"
      ],
      "integrity_contract_sha256": "145046ff15faa3f6d71e07c817f1d68b4a8addcd7bafea6dbb98a44a0ba4227b"
    },
    {
      "id": "A006",
      "at": "2026-09-10T16:15:00Z",
      "type": "poll_archive_pass4_wayback_and_leT60_deepening",
      "status": "OPEN",
      "note": "Pass4 availability only (+retry): Wayback CDX for post-migration USC URL \u2014 16 snaps, earliest 2016-11-28, 0 pre-2015-07-10. RETRY cheap vintage: original ASPX URL News/120823LATimesPoll.aspx Wayback 20120824 \u2264T-60 hashed (sha256 13c5920a7e51d025\u2026); LV horse-race / RV frame; LAT print + GQRR landing corroborate; GQRR PDF still OPEN. Quinnipiac 2016-08-25 national LV \u2264T-60; Quinnipiac 2012-07-11 RV; six Gallup 2008 Daily RV \u2264T-60; Gallup 110548 corrected gt_T60. eligible_strict_PIT UNDECIDED; no fitting; MODEL_CHANGE=NO; S1/E2 PARKED.",
      "cycles_with_new_release_examples": [
        2008,
        2012,
        2016
      ],
      "sources_touched": [
        "USC_Annenberg_LAT",
        "Wayback_CDX",
        "Quinnipiac_University_Poll",
        "Gallup_publisher",
        "PollingReport_com",
        "USC_Annenberg_LAT_ASPX_original",
        "LAT_print_20120823",
        "GQRR_2780_wayback"
      ],
      "integrity_contract_sha256": "145046ff15faa3f6d71e07c817f1d68b4a8addcd7bafea6dbb98a44a0ba4227b"
    }
  ],
  "rule": "Every attempted variant, failed run, exclusion and amendment must be appended. Exploratory stays exploratory. Inspecting test performance consumes that test set for model selection.",
  "updated_utc": "2026-09-10T16:15:00Z"
}