{
  "pack": "HANDEL_PLANT_CHOICE",
  "version": "v0.2",
  "title": "rain_frost_driven_variety_package_anti_status_quo",
  "supersedes_plant_pick_of": "HANDEL_PLANT_CHOICE_v0_1",
  "date_pt": "2026-09-24 ~6:05 PM PT",
  "hub_job": "bf383775-2919-4a3e-ad4b-40c9e106d5be",
  "executor": "grok",
  "idempotency_key": "grok-handel-plant-choice-v0_2-rain-frost-20260924",
  "status": "PLANT",
  "disposition": "PLANT",
  "best_option": "C2",
  "best_option_level": "concrete_package_frozen_archetypes",
  "best_package": {
    "system_class": "C2",
    "primary_early_scion": "Chelan-class",
    "early_companion": "Coral Champagne-class",
    "mid_leg": "Bing- and/or Rainier-class",
    "avoid_as_sole_early": "Brooks-only",
    "pollenizer_note": "Mapped lattice required; Brooks- and/or Bing-class placeholders per CONDITIONAL_COMPARISON_CARDS_v0_1_2 \u2014 not bloom compatibility proof",
    "rootstock_architecture": "Mazzard freestanding conventional",
    "optional_overlay": "C7 Krymsk Spanish bush/KGB",
    "overall": "CONDITIONAL"
  },
  "runner_up": "C9",
  "runner_up_detail": "Lapins/Sweetheart-class self-fertile freestanding \u2014 best pure frost+rain calendars if early premium abandoned; F8 channel weak",
  "continuity_weight": 0,
  "continuity_footnote": "Existing Chelan+Coral on APN noted only; not a ranking driver",
  "ranking_drivers": [
    "harvest_rain_split_risk",
    "post_bloom_frost_by_timing_window"
  ],
  "secondary_axes": [
    "chill_class_fit",
    "architecture_front_load",
    "packer_channel_without_continuity",
    "option_value"
  ],
  "frost_owner_accepted": true,
  "frost_still_discriminates_windows": true,
  "capital_ask": false,
  "invented_spend_amounts": false,
  "real_capital": "OWNER_GATED_NOT_AUTHORIZED_BY_THIS_PACK",
  "never_james": true,
  "no_asks_to_james": true,
  "window_scores": {
    "early_concentrated_C3_like": {
      "frost": 3,
      "rain": 3,
      "combined": 3.0
    },
    "staggered_C2_like": {
      "frost": 7,
      "rain": 8,
      "combined": 7.5
    },
    "mid_late_C9_like": {
      "frost": 8,
      "rain": 8,
      "combined": 8.0
    }
  },
  "winning_window": "staggered_C2_like",
  "winning_window_note": "mid_late edges on pure climate; stagger wins plant decision with early-premium option value and C9 F8 weakness",
  "ranking": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "id": "C2",
      "role": "PRIMARY",
      "why": [
        "best_rain_frost_balance",
        "Chelan_class_crack_citation",
        "splits_bloom_and_harvest",
        "keeps_early_option"
      ]
    },
    {
      "rank": 2,
      "id": "C9",
      "role": "runner_up",
      "why": [
        "best_pure_frost_rain_calendars",
        "self_fertile_eases_bloom_overlap",
        "F8_mid_late_channel_weak"
      ]
    },
    {
      "rank": 3,
      "id": "C3",
      "role": "demoted_vs_v0_1",
      "why": [
        "early_concentrate_stacks_frost_and_rain",
        "continuity_weight_zeroed",
        "F1_chill_insufficient_vs_rain_frost"
      ]
    },
    {
      "rank": 4,
      "id": "C7",
      "role": "optional_architecture_overlay",
      "why": [
        "does_not_fix_timing_risk",
        "training_crew_front_load"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "why_C3_lost": [
    "continuity_weight_removed",
    "OWNER_ACCEPTED_frost_still_penalizes_early_bloom_window",
    "Apr_harvest_wettest_band_vs_May_Jun",
    "heat_compression_forward_raises_early_rain_exposure"
  ],
  "climate_evidence": {
    "station": "USC00045032 LODI",
    "distance": "~4.4 mi W",
    "normals": "1991-2020",
    "tag": "REGIONAL_PROXY_not_parcel",
    "freeze_last_10pct": {
      "28F": "02/18",
      "32F": "03/07",
      "36F": "04/20"
    },
    "monthly": {
      "02": {
        "prcp_in": 3.43,
        "p_tmin_le32": 0.538,
        "p_tmin_le36": 0.862
      },
      "03": {
        "prcp_in": 2.49,
        "p_tmin_le32": 0.145,
        "p_tmin_le36": 0.56
      },
      "04": {
        "prcp_in": 1.53,
        "days_ge_0_10in": 3.8,
        "p_tmin_le36": 0.189
      },
      "05": {
        "prcp_in": 0.68,
        "days_ge_0_10in": 2.1,
        "p_tmin_le36": 0.053
      },
      "06": {
        "prcp_in": 0.18,
        "days_ge_0_10in": 0.6,
        "p_tmin_le36": 0.024
      }
    },
    "forward_assumptions": [
      "warming_declining_chill_UPWARD_bias_historic_CP",
      "heat_compression_years_pull_early_harvest_into_Apr_May_rain",
      "station_to_strip_transfer_UNKNOWN"
    ]
  },
  "pass_reconciliation": {
    "production_PASS_count": 0,
    "path": "a_owner_override_plant_with_best_CONDITIONAL",
    "path_b_class_meets_production_PASS": false
  },
  "site_lock": {
    "address": "8650 E Handel Rd, Lodi, CA",
    "apn": "063-060-32",
    "acres_decision_strip": 13.0,
    "soils": "CONFIRMED_Kingdon_Tokay",
    "pits": "OWNER_WAIVED_U4_CLOSED",
    "water_adequacy": "OWNER_ASSERTED_gate_CLOSED",
    "frost_u6": "NARROWED_OWNER_ACCEPTED_residual_still_discriminates"
  },
  "packs_reused": [
    "CHILL_FROST_HEAT_LODI_v0_3",
    "CHILL_FROST_HEAT_LODI_v0_2_1",
    "noaa_lodi_USC00045032_normals_1991_2020",
    "SITE_CONSTRAINTS_v0_1",
    "SITE_COMPATIBLE_SHORTLIST_v0_1",
    "PHASE2_CANDIDATE_SHORTLIST_v0_1_1",
    "CONDITIONAL_COMPARISON_CARDS_v0_1_2",
    "HANDEL_PLANT_CHOICE_v0_1"
  ],
  "artifact_sha256_md": "687b2d7195c6bbb25bf9b0305ab873ed27441f0860c25c63506264b3221f10eb",
  "artifact_sha256_json": "d368f2b4a06b01260d0df66968e6d59c748b05001ebd1a7bcc27f2e4853e155e"
}