{ "schema_id": "L6_density_matrix_v0.3_inventory", "purpose": "Metadata-only temporal density / independence inventory. NO correlations. NO coupling. NO score authorization.", "model_change": false, "score_authorization": false, "version": "0.3", "supersedes": "sensor_inventory_v0 (preserved)", "generated_at_utc": "2026-09-10T15:40:29.821211+00:00", "hub_job": "b73c292a-16e2-4f11-9370-1337d0239791", "research_job": "lane-L6-propagation-data-density-matrix", "codex_decision": "597446ec / e22ee60a \u2014 L6_CHANGES_REQUESTED_BEFORE_FEASIBILITY_ACCEPTANCE", "rebuild_ack": "f8628f85", "n_sensors": 22, "forbidden": [ "correlations", "coupling_coefficients", "outcome_labels", "phase_labels", "trend-based source selection", "authorized_scores_from_density_meta", "coupling_authorization" ], "unit_policy": { "calendar_span_years_inclusive": "end_year - start_year + 1", "congress_periods": "never labeled as overlap_years", "observation_coverage": "from real timestamps/manifests only; else UNKNOWN", "density_meta_product": "audit product of declared components ONLY \u2014 not an authorized score" }, "sensors": [ { "sensor_id": "pew_individual_trust_polls", "construct_candidate": "L1", "exact_construct_label": "Public trust in government (individual polls)", "source": "Pew/NES/Gallup/ABC/CBS/CNN compiled table", "source_family": "survey_trust", "unit": "percent_trust", "earliest_year": 1958, "latest_year": 2025, "typical_frequency": "irregular_annualized", "raw_row_count": 163, "unique_observation_time_count": 53, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 53, "missingness_notes": "Production years_with_polls list has gaps incl. 2016,2018; request missing also lists 2026 (incomplete). Individual polls irregular within year.", "longest_gap": "~2y (2015\u21922017; 2017\u21922019 among recent)", "median_gap": "~1y among years_with_polls (many consecutive; midterm gaps rarer pre-2015)", "methodology_breaks": "Pollster/mode mix across NES/Gallup/ABC/CBS/CNN/Pew; individual vs smoothed distinction critical", "publication_lag": "days_to_weeks_typical_poll_release; annual L1 aggregation calendar-year", "point_in_time_availability": "field_dates recorded per poll in production_scores audit; annual score uses calendar-year mean", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "L1_live", "doc_refs": "docs/l1/L1-US-v0.1.md; docs/l1/SOURCE_LINEAGE.md; data/l1/production_scores.json", "notes": "Only score-authorized production construct. years_with_polls n=53 (1958\u20132025). annual_scores production window 2006\u20132025/26.", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 68, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "irregular_annualized", "period_count": 53, "period_count_unit": "years_with_polls", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": true, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "pew_individual_trust_polls", "acquisition_status": "acquired_local_production", "source_url_or_path": "/workspace/srp-observatory/data/l1/production_scores.json", "source_content_sha256": "0d202bc1a15296920e9293d8bba221aca4d3497d58a7d739f4ca87039acb83b3", "observation_timestamp_summary": { "unit": "calendar_year_with_polls", "years_with_polls": [ 1958, 1964, 1966, 1968, 1970, 1972, 1974, 1976, 1977, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1982, 1984, 1985, 1986, 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1995, 1996, 1997, 1998, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015, 2017, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 ], "n_years_with_polls": 53, "calendar_span_declared": "1958-2025", "calendar_span_years_inclusive_declared": 68, "note": "53 years_with_polls \u2260 68 calendar span; annualizing counterparts does not invent trust observations" }, "publication_timestamp_summary": "field_dates in production audit where recorded", "unresolved_PIT": "gaps include 2016,2018 among recent", "years_with_polls_count": 53, "observation_coverage_note": "53 years_with_polls \u2260 68 calendar years; calendar span alone \u2260 levels/diff/lag/rolling/holdout feasibility" }, { "sensor_id": "owid_public_trust", "construct_candidate": "L1", "exact_construct_label": "OWID public-trust-in-government smoothed mirror", "source": "OWID/Pew CSV", "source_family": "survey_trust_smoothed", "unit": "percent", "earliest_year": 1958, "latest_year": 2025, "typical_frequency": "annual", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "Smoothed convenience mirror \u2014 not raw L1 points; coverage roughly tracks Pew table but processing differs", "longest_gap": "UNKNOWN (inherits Pew smoothed)", "median_gap": "1y when present", "methodology_breaks": "3-survey MA + annualize by OWID; never treat as raw", "publication_lag": "follows OWID refresh", "point_in_time_availability": "annualized; not poll field-date PIT", "geography": "international_incl_US", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_corroboration", "doc_refs": "docs/SENSOR_CANDIDATES.md; docs/l1/SOURCE_LINEAGE.md; docs/DATA_SOURCES.md", "notes": "not production L1", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 68, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "annual", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "owid_public_trust", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "OWID/Pew CSV", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "follows OWID refresh", "unresolved_PIT": "annualized; not poll field-date PIT" }, { "sensor_id": "michigan_sca_micro_YYYYMM", "construct_candidate": "M1", "exact_construct_label": "Michigan SCA monthly micro timestamps (metadata row)", "source": "University of Michigan SCA", "source_family": "michigan_sca", "unit": "respondent_row", "earliest_year": 2015, "latest_year": 2023, "typical_frequency": "monthly", "raw_row_count": 63748, "unique_observation_time_count": 108, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 108, "missingness_notes": "Codex e01abcea: 108 months Jan2015\u2013Dec2023; zero missing months in extract; respondent counts \u2260 measurement periods. Pilot micro cols: CASEID,YYYYMM,IDPREV,DATEPR,PEXP,PAGO,WT,ICS (no PID in this extract).", "longest_gap": "1 month (reported; none missing in window)", "median_gap": "1 month", "methodology_breaks": "2024 phone\u2192web transition (outside this extract window)", "publication_lag": "~1 month typical public micro release", "point_in_time_availability": "YYYYMM interview month", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "docs/m1/*; Codex Hub e01abcea; data/raw/michigan_sca/microdata/sca_micro_2015_2023_pilot.csv", "notes": "M1 score_authorized=0; 108 raw months \u2260 108 valid M1 estimates; L2 PRD lead for panel geometry | consumer sentiment aggregates \u2260 authorized M1 measurement", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 9, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly", "period_count": 108, "period_count_unit": "months", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "michigan_sca_micro_YYYYMM", "acquisition_status": "acquired_local", "source_url_or_path": "University of Michigan SCA micro extract (pilot)", "source_content_sha256": "8f74769178d2918818906ac41a99d795131af4592b17beefa4b1d2ef05771dcf", "observation_timestamp_summary": { "unit": "YYYYMM", "first": 201501, "last": 202312, "n_unique": 108, "calendar_years_inclusive": [ 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023 ], "n_calendar_years_inclusive": 9 }, "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "unresolved_PIT": "respondent interview day within month UNKNOWN; YYYYMM is month stamp" }, { "sensor_id": "michigan_sca_ics_monthly_agg", "construct_candidate": "M1", "exact_construct_label": "Michigan SCA Index of Consumer Sentiment (public monthly aggregate)", "source": "University of Michigan SCA tbmics.csv", "source_family": "michigan_sca", "unit": "index", "earliest_year": 1952, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "monthly", "raw_row_count": 676, "unique_observation_time_count": 676, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 676, "missingness_notes": "Early years incomplete months (1952\u20131977 often <12 months/yr; ~27 incomplete years). Near-complete monthly from late 1970s phone era.", "longest_gap": "multi-month in early 1950s (sparse)", "median_gap": "1 month (modern era)", "methodology_breaks": "2024 phone\u2192web; early in-person\u2192phone eras", "publication_lag": "~2\u20134 weeks typical", "point_in_time_availability": "Month/YYYY columns", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "data/raw/michigan_sca/tbmics.csv; docs/m1/WAVE2B_M1_LONG_FEASIBILITY.md", "notes": "ICS_ALL aggregate; corroboration / density lead \u2014 not M1 score | consumer sentiment aggregates \u2260 authorized M1 measurement", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 75, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly", "period_count": 676, "period_count_unit": "months", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "michigan_sca_ics_monthly_agg", "acquisition_status": "acquired_local", "source_url_or_path": "https://www.sca.isr.umich.edu/files/tbmics.csv", "source_content_sha256": "9c3636a2159c1003f9985280f6287025f60661adf8574a69026fb50a0d748b64", "observation_timestamp_summary": { "unit": "month_within_year", "first_year": 1952, "last_year": 2026, "n_rows": 676, "n_calendar_years_inclusive": 75, "calendar_years_span": "1952-2026" }, "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN_per_release", "unresolved_PIT": "month stamp present; exact release vintage UNKNOWN" }, { "sensor_id": "michigan_sca_pago_pexp_monthly_agg", "construct_candidate": "M1", "exact_construct_label": "Michigan SCA PAGO/PEXP monthly relative aggregates (Tables 6/8)", "source": "University of Michigan SCA archive tables", "source_family": "michigan_sca", "unit": "relative_index", "earliest_year": 1978, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "monthly", "raw_row_count": 584, "unique_observation_time_count": 584, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 584, "missingness_notes": "Public Table 6 (PAGO) and Table 8 (PEXP) monthly; ~584 rows each in local extract. Pre-1978 history method-different.", "longest_gap": "1 month (modern continuous)", "median_gap": "1 month", "methodology_breaks": "2024 phone\u2192web; wording continuity claimed by SCA for core items", "publication_lag": "~2\u20134 weeks", "point_in_time_availability": "monthly", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "data/raw/michigan_sca/table6_pago_monthly.csv; table8_pexp_monthly.csv; docs/m1/*", "notes": "Subjective current (PAGO) vs expectation (PEXP); retired A2/M1-D used aggregates \u2014 person-level M1-LONG is remaining path | consumer sentiment aggregates \u2260 authorized M1 measurement", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 49, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly", "period_count": 584, "period_count_unit": "months", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "michigan_sca_pago_pexp_monthly_agg", "acquisition_status": "acquired_local", "source_url_or_path": "https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/data-archive/mine.php", "source_content_sha256": "312b9427e1a3313a34c45932b13d7517b652839c3e816fddd70841fe9c53a6cc", "observation_timestamp_summary": { "unit": "month_year", "first_year": 1978, "last_year": 2026, "n_rows": 583, "n_calendar_years_inclusive": 49 }, "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "unresolved_PIT": "UNKNOWN" }, { "sensor_id": "fred_umcsent", "construct_candidate": "M1", "exact_construct_label": "UMCSENT aggregate sentiment (corroboration)", "source": "FRED", "source_family": "fred_aggregate", "unit": "index", "earliest_year": 1978, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "monthly", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "FRED mirror of Michigan ICS composite; local raw/fred mostly negative_controls stubs \u2014 treat as remote monthly series", "longest_gap": "typically 1 month", "median_gap": "1 month", "methodology_breaks": "inherits Michigan methodology breaks", "publication_lag": "FRED lag after Michigan release", "point_in_time_availability": "monthly vintage on FRED/ALFRED", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "docs/SENSOR_CANDIDATES.md; docs/DATA_SOURCES.md", "notes": "corroboration only \u2014 not M1 gap; not independent of michigan_sca_ics | consumer sentiment aggregates \u2260 authorized M1 measurement", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 49, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "fred_umcsent", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "FRED", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "FRED lag after Michigan release", "unresolved_PIT": "monthly vintage on FRED/ALFRED" }, { "sensor_id": "bls_unrate", "construct_candidate": "M1", "exact_construct_label": "Civilian unemployment rate", "source": "BLS LNS14000000", "source_family": "bls", "unit": "percent", "earliest_year": 1948, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "monthly", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "Local data/raw/bls empty this session; public BLS monthly continuous. Metadata lead only.", "longest_gap": "1 month typical", "median_gap": "1 month", "methodology_breaks": "CPS redesigns (periodic)", "publication_lag": "~1 month (first Friday)", "point_in_time_availability": "monthly; ALFRED vintages for PIT", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "docs/DATA_SOURCES.md; docs/SENSOR_CANDIDATES.md", "notes": "unemployment \u2260 M1 score; objective household macro lead for L2 PRD triad", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 79, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "bls_unrate", "acquisition_status": "documentation_only_local_raw_empty", "source_url_or_path": "BLS / FRED UNRATE (public)", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN locally \u2014 documentation calendar 1948\u20132026", "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN (ALFRED vintages for PIT)", "unresolved_PIT": "local data/raw/bls empty this session" }, { "sensor_id": "anes_outparty_ft", "construct_candidate": "S1", "exact_construct_label": "ANES out-party feeling thermometer / hostility H", "source": "ANES CDF", "source_family": "anes", "unit": "thermometer_0_100", "earliest_year": 1978, "latest_year": 2024, "typical_frequency": "election_cycle", "raw_row_count": 73745, "unique_observation_time_count": 18, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 18, "missingness_notes": "Year panel: 18 study years with both leans+party FTs (1978\u20262024). Real election/midterm cadence \u2014 no annual invent/fill. Gaps e.g. no 2002/2006/2010/2014/2018/2022. Valid lean+FT pooled n\u224843063.", "longest_gap": "4y (post-2000 presidential cadence years used)", "median_gap": "2y", "methodology_breaks": "mode VCF0017; weight provenance year-specific; FT_MAX_CODED=97 draft pending coding_map_ACCEPT", "publication_lag": "years after election (CDF release cycles)", "point_in_time_availability": "study-year; not monthly", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "parked_exploratory", "doc_refs": "docs/s1/WAVE2C_S1_OUTPARTY_FT_YEAR_SERIES.md; data/raw/anes/; data/s1/*", "notes": "score_authorized(S1)=0; Pew never spliced into ANES; blocked on coding_map_ACCEPT", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 47, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "election_cycle", "period_count": 18, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "anes_outparty_ft", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "ANES CDF", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "years after election (CDF release cycles)", "unresolved_PIT": "study-year; not monthly" }, { "sensor_id": "pew_affective_extracts", "construct_candidate": "S1", "exact_construct_label": "Pew affective polarization extracts (separate lineage)", "source": "Pew PDFs/CSVs", "source_family": "pew_affective", "unit": "various", "earliest_year": 1994, "latest_year": 2022, "typical_frequency": "irregular", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "Cadence overlap with ANES documented separately; irregular survey years", "longest_gap": "multi-year irregular", "median_gap": "UNKNOWN", "methodology_breaks": "survey instrument changes; separate lineage from ANES", "publication_lag": "months after field", "point_in_time_availability": "survey field windows", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "parked_exploratory", "doc_refs": "docs/s1/WAVE2C_S1_ANES_PEW_CADENCE_OVERLAP.md; data/raw/pew_affective/", "notes": "separate lineage from ANES \u2014 never splice", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 29, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "irregular", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "pew_affective_extracts", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "Pew PDFs/CSVs", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "months after field", "unresolved_PIT": "survey field windows" }, { "sensor_id": "e2_voteview_n3", "construct_candidate": "E2", "exact_construct_label": "Voteview between-party distance (N3 diagnostic)", "source": "Voteview HSall_members", "source_family": "voteview", "unit": "distance_nominate_dim1", "earliest_year": 1837, "latest_year": 2024, "typical_frequency": "congress", "raw_row_count": 190, "unique_observation_time_count": 95, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 94, "missingness_notes": "Congress 25\u2013119 continuous in file; gaps=0. Cong 119 ongoing_provisional. House/Senate dual series. Primary endpoint cong 118.", "longest_gap": "0 congresses (continuous)", "median_gap": "1 congress (~2y)", "methodology_breaks": "career NOMINATE hindsight; party_code 100/200 only; min_n_party=5", "publication_lag": "VoteView refresh cycles; mid-congress provisional", "point_in_time_availability": "congress-period; ongoing congress provisional", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "parked_exploratory", "doc_refs": "docs/e2/WAVE2C_E2_N3_BETWEEN_PARTY_DISTANCE.md; data/e2/voteview_between_party_center_dist.csv", "notes": "N3=ELITE_IDEOLOGICAL_SEPARATION not full E2; score_authorized(E2)=0; same roll-call family as N1", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 188, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "congress_period", "period_count": 95, "period_count_unit": "congress_periods", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "e2_voteview_n3", "acquisition_status": "documentation_plus_landed_series_meta", "source_url_or_path": "Voteview HSall_members", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": { "unit": "congress_period", "congress_first": 25, "congress_last_primary": 118, "n_congress_periods": 95, "calendar_year_labels_approx": "1837\u20132024 (approx; congress \u2260 calendar year)" }, "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "unresolved_PIT": "ongoing congress provisional; release times UNKNOWN" }, { "sensor_id": "e2_voteview_n1_within_party_disp", "construct_candidate": "E2", "exact_construct_label": "Voteview within-party NOMINATE dispersion (N1 diagnostic)", "source": "Voteview HSall_members", "source_family": "voteview", "unit": "sd_iqr_nominate_dim1", "earliest_year": 1837, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "congress", "raw_row_count": 362, "unique_observation_time_count": 95, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 95, "missingness_notes": "362 chamber\u00d7party\u00d7congress cells; 360 eligible n\u22655. Continuous congress 25\u2013119.", "longest_gap": "0", "median_gap": "1 congress", "methodology_breaks": "same NOMINATE family as N3 \u2014 NOT independent-system replication of N3", "publication_lag": "VoteView refresh", "point_in_time_availability": "congress-period", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "parked_exploratory", "doc_refs": "docs/e2/WAVE2C_E2_VOTEVIEW_DIAGNOSTIC.md; data/e2/voteview_within_party_nominate_disp.csv", "notes": "Within-bloc cohesion candidate for L1 rigidity dim A; not a Rigidity Index", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 190, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "congress_period", "period_count": 95, "period_count_unit": "congress_periods", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "e2_voteview_n1_within_party_disp", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "Voteview HSall_members", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "VoteView refresh", "unresolved_PIT": "congress-period" }, { "sensor_id": "e2_n4_offer_attract_cbs", "construct_candidate": "E2", "exact_construct_label": "CEL CBS offer vs attract chamber\u00d7Congress series", "source": "CEL CBS / Dobson & Lollis biparty", "source_family": "legislative_cosponsor", "unit": "proportion_0_1", "earliest_year": 1983, "latest_year": 2024, "typical_frequency": "congress", "raw_row_count": 42, "unique_observation_time_count": 21, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 21, "missingness_notes": "Coverage 98th\u2013118th Congress; no 119. Continuous 21 congresses. Offer and attract SEPARATE series.", "longest_gap": "0", "median_gap": "1 congress", "methodology_breaks": "chamber definitions; zero-activity exclusions; Congress.gov raw replication blocked (API key)", "publication_lag": "package release lag behind Congress", "point_in_time_availability": "congress-complete preferred", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "parked_exploratory", "doc_refs": "docs/e2/WAVE2C_E2_N4_OFFER_ATTRACT_SERIES.md; data/e2/cbs_chamber_congress_offer_attract.csv", "notes": "preserve offer/attract denominator audit; NO composite; different data family from roll-calls (independence+) ", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 42, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "congress_period", "period_count": 21, "period_count_unit": "congress_periods", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "e2_n4_offer_attract_cbs", "acquisition_status": "documentation_plus_landed_series_meta", "source_url_or_path": "CEL CBS / Dobson & Lollis biparty", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": { "unit": "congress_period", "congress_first": 98, "congress_last": 118, "n_congress_periods": 21 }, "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "unresolved_PIT": "congress-complete preferred; package release lag UNKNOWN" }, { "sensor_id": "brookings_party_unity_votes_pct", "construct_candidate": "E2", "exact_construct_label": "Brookings Vital Statistics party-unity votes %", "source": "Brookings Vital Statistics on Congress", "source_family": "legislative_rollcall_unity", "unit": "percent", "earliest_year": 1953, "latest_year": 2022, "typical_frequency": "annual", "raw_row_count": 140, "unique_observation_time_count": 70, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": 70, "missingness_notes": "Year\u00d7Chamber rows; 70 unique years 1953\u20132022 in local CSV", "longest_gap": "UNKNOWN pending year-continuity audit", "median_gap": "1y", "methodology_breaks": "chamber coding; party-unity definition per Brookings", "publication_lag": "annual Vital Stats updates", "point_in_time_availability": "calendar year", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "parked_exploratory", "doc_refs": "data/e2/brookings_party_unity_votes_pct.csv; docs/e2/WAVE2C_E2_N2_UNITY_NOTE.md", "notes": "N2-adjacent; roll-call family \u2014 partial dependence with VoteView", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 70, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "annual", "period_count": 70, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "brookings_party_unity_votes_pct", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "Brookings Vital Statistics on Congress", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "annual Vital Stats updates", "unresolved_PIT": "calendar year" }, { "sensor_id": "election01_two_party_margin", "construct_candidate": "ELECTION-01", "exact_construct_label": "National two-party popular-vote margin (proving ground)", "source": "multi-source audit", "source_family": "election_returns", "unit": "margin", "earliest_year": null, "latest_year": null, "typical_frequency": "election_cycle", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "coverage ledger in progress; fitting NOT authorized", "longest_gap": "UNKNOWN", "median_gap": "4y presidential", "methodology_breaks": "source/license per cycle", "publication_lag": "post-election certification", "point_in_time_availability": "audit_pending", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "audit_only_no_fitting", "doc_refs": "docs/election/; docs/election01/; research job 5cf0af88", "notes": "METADATA ROW ONLY \u2014 no fitting; integrity/protocol review", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": null, "calendar_span_unit": "UNKNOWN", "native_period_unit": "election_cycle", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "election01_two_party_margin", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "multi-source audit", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "post-election certification", "unresolved_PIT": "audit_pending" }, { "sensor_id": "election_poll_archives_meta", "construct_candidate": "ELECTION-01", "exact_construct_label": "Election poll archives (FTE/others) \u2014 metadata row only", "source": "FiveThirtyEight / poll aggregators (probe)", "source_family": "election_polls", "unit": "poll_row", "earliest_year": null, "latest_year": null, "typical_frequency": "irregular_campaign", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "RAW_POLL_ARCHIVE_NOT_ACQUIRED; FTE hist CSV returned HTML@200 in Grok PIT probe \u2014 not ingested", "longest_gap": "n/a", "median_gap": "n/a", "methodology_breaks": "HTML-as-CSV reject; license/ToS per archive", "publication_lag": "campaign-dependent", "point_in_time_availability": "NOT_VERIFIED", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "audit_only_no_fitting", "doc_refs": "research 5cf0af88; election01 integrity contract", "notes": "METADATA ONLY \u2014 no outcome inspection / no fitting", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": null, "calendar_span_unit": "UNKNOWN", "native_period_unit": "irregular_campaign", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "election_poll_archives_meta", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "FiveThirtyEight / poll aggregators (probe)", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "campaign-dependent", "unresolved_PIT": "NOT_VERIFIED" }, { "sensor_id": "exp001_bloc_coupling_meta", "construct_candidate": "Exp001", "exact_construct_label": "Bloc coupling protocol (CLOSED insufficient)", "source": "n/a \u2014 insufficient", "source_family": "experiment_meta", "unit": "n/a", "earliest_year": null, "latest_year": null, "typical_frequency": "n/a", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "temporal information insufficient vs protocol ambitions", "longest_gap": "n/a", "median_gap": "n/a", "methodology_breaks": "n/a", "publication_lag": "n/a", "point_in_time_availability": "n/a", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "closed_insufficient", "doc_refs": "docs/experiments/SRP_EXP001*; docs/experiments/SRP_EXP001_002_METADATA*", "notes": "do not revive; motivates L6 density-first", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": null, "calendar_span_unit": "UNKNOWN", "native_period_unit": "n/a", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "exp001_bloc_coupling_meta", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "n/a \u2014 insufficient", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "n/a", "unresolved_PIT": "n/a" }, { "sensor_id": "exp002_recovery_meta", "construct_candidate": "Exp002", "exact_construct_label": "Recovery ratchet / event-time (INSUFFICIENT)", "source": "n/a \u2014 insufficient", "source_family": "experiment_meta", "unit": "n/a", "earliest_year": null, "latest_year": null, "typical_frequency": "n/a", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "cadence/state-machine ambiguity", "longest_gap": "n/a", "median_gap": "n/a", "methodology_breaks": "n/a", "publication_lag": "n/a", "point_in_time_availability": "n/a", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "insufficient_do_not_rescue", "doc_refs": "docs/experiments/SRP_EXP002*; docs/experiments/SRP_EXP001_002_METADATA*", "notes": "L5 searches new sources \u2014 does not rescue Exp002", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": null, "calendar_span_unit": "UNKNOWN", "native_period_unit": "n/a", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "exp002_recovery_meta", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "n/a \u2014 insufficient", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "n/a", "unresolved_PIT": "n/a" }, { "sensor_id": "acled_b1_b2_stub", "construct_candidate": "B1/B2", "exact_construct_label": "ACLED connector stub", "source": "ACLED API", "source_family": "acled", "unit": "event_counts", "earliest_year": null, "latest_year": null, "typical_frequency": "daily_to_monthly_agg", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "BLOCKED/low priority connector job", "longest_gap": "UNKNOWN", "median_gap": "UNKNOWN", "methodology_breaks": "UNKNOWN", "publication_lag": "near-real-time when accessible", "point_in_time_availability": "UNKNOWN", "geography": "international_incl_US", "authorized_measurement_status": "stub_backlog", "doc_refs": "docs/b1b2/; research d5023767", "notes": "ACLED\u2260S1", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": null, "calendar_span_unit": "UNKNOWN", "native_period_unit": "daily_to_monthly_agg", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "acled_b1_b2_stub", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "ACLED API", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "near-real-time when accessible", "unresolved_PIT": "UNKNOWN" }, { "sensor_id": "ny_fed_sce_panel", "construct_candidate": "M1/PRD", "exact_construct_label": "NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations panel", "source": "NY Fed CMD SCE", "source_family": "nyfed_sce", "unit": "respondent_wave", "earliest_year": 2013, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "monthly_panel", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "Public Excel microdata mid-2013+; userid panel; typical tenure geometry ~11m vs 12m wording. Political vars UNKNOWN \u2014 codebook audit required for PRD.", "longest_gap": "UNKNOWN", "median_gap": "1 month among active", "methodology_breaks": "file-era changes 2013\u2013present", "publication_lag": "monthly public Excel", "point_in_time_availability": "public_excel", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "docs/m1/WAVE2B_M1_LONG_FEASIBILITY.md; docs/prd/*; https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce", "notes": "L2 feasibility lead; Q1/Q2 analogue to PAGO/PEXP", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 14, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly_panel", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "ny_fed_sce_panel", "acquisition_status": "documentation_only", "source_url_or_path": "NY Fed SCE public Excel (mid-2013+)", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN \u2014 not locally acquired this session", "publication_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "unresolved_PIT": "UNKNOWN" }, { "sensor_id": "prd_cth_backlog", "construct_candidate": "PRD", "exact_construct_label": "PRD/CTH hypothesis backlog (untested)", "source": "multi (SCA/SCE/ANES leads)", "source_family": "prd_backlog", "unit": "n/a", "earliest_year": null, "latest_year": null, "typical_frequency": "n/a", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "feasibility matrixing in L2 \u2014 H1\u2013H4 UNTESTED", "longest_gap": "n/a", "median_gap": "n/a", "methodology_breaks": "n/a", "publication_lag": "n/a", "point_in_time_availability": "n/a", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "backlog", "doc_refs": "docs/prd/WAVE2C_PRD_COMMITMENT_THRESHOLD_BACKLOG.md; docs/lanes/L2_prd_cth_feasibility/*; research 7a01871f", "notes": "no tests; L2 upgrades feasibility work", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": null, "calendar_span_unit": "UNKNOWN", "native_period_unit": "n/a", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "prd_cth_backlog", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "multi (SCA/SCE/ANES leads)", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "n/a", "unresolved_PIT": "n/a" }, { "sensor_id": "gallup_presidential_approval_meta", "construct_candidate": "NONE", "exact_construct_label": "Gallup presidential job approval (metadata lead)", "source": "Gallup", "source_family": "approval", "unit": "percent_approve", "earliest_year": 1941, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "irregular_to_weekly", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "NOT LANDED locally \u2014 metadata lead for trust/approval density only; acquisition pending", "longest_gap": "UNKNOWN", "median_gap": "days_to_weeks modern", "methodology_breaks": "mode/RDD\u2192web transitions", "publication_lag": "days", "point_in_time_availability": "field dates when archived", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "backlog", "doc_refs": "L6 density lead register", "notes": "trust/approval lead \u2014 not L1 substitute; no acquisition this tick", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 86, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "irregular_to_weekly", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": false, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "gallup_presidential_approval_meta", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "Gallup", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "days", "unresolved_PIT": "field dates when archived" }, { "sensor_id": "consumer_sentiment_ics_components_meta", "construct_candidate": "M1", "exact_construct_label": "Michigan SCA ICS components ICC/ICE (Table 5 / tbmiccice)", "source": "University of Michigan SCA", "source_family": "michigan_sca", "unit": "index", "earliest_year": 1978, "latest_year": 2026, "typical_frequency": "monthly", "raw_row_count": null, "unique_observation_time_count": null, "effective_supported_measurement_periods": null, "missingness_notes": "Local tbmiccice.csv + table5_components landed; same family as ICS/PAGO/PEXP", "longest_gap": "1 month modern", "median_gap": "1 month", "methodology_breaks": "2024 phone\u2192web", "publication_lag": "~2\u20134 weeks", "point_in_time_availability": "monthly", "geography": "US-only", "authorized_measurement_status": "research_only_unauthorized", "doc_refs": "data/raw/michigan_sca/tbmiccice.csv; table5_components_monthly.csv", "notes": "Current (ICC) vs Expected (ICE) components \u2014 NOT independent of other SCA rows | consumer sentiment aggregates \u2260 authorized M1 measurement", "calendar_span_years_inclusive": 49, "calendar_span_unit": "calendar_years_inclusive", "native_period_unit": "monthly", "period_count": null, "period_count_unit": "UNKNOWN", "raw_candidate": true, "retained_measurement": true, "score_authorized": false, "timestamp_manifest_ref": "consumer_sentiment_ics_components_meta", "acquisition_status": "documentation_or_meta_only", "source_url_or_path": "University of Michigan SCA", "source_content_sha256": "UNKNOWN", "observation_timestamp_summary": "UNKNOWN", "publication_timestamp_summary": "~2\u20134 weeks", "unresolved_PIT": "monthly" } ] }