# RCL_H01_A Crop Progress G+E — historical availability overlay v0.1

**Created:** 2026-09-12T19:00:49Z  
**Artifact:** `RCL_H01_A_CROP_PROGRESS_GE_AVAILABILITY_OVERLAY_v0_1.json`  
**sha256:** `e8317d27cf5ec02e725f5919890890238811380b72859306a519dea043af2e58`  
**Presence prior:** `RCL_H01_A_CROP_PROGRESS_GE_PRESENCE_JUL_SEP_v0_1.json` sha256=`a04ac2f5156bbdbe493c57a429261343c9046a4e4c3db0edb0b241d22a803d7d`

## Scope
- Scaffold seasons **2010–2025**, Jul–Sep weeks aligned to presence overlay (212 issue rows)
- **Availability / release-identity / clocks only** — no G/EX numerics, no targets, no returns
- Timestamps **not invented**; delay notices recorded; Wayback pass attempted (TLS failure — no capture claim)

## Evidence classes used
| Class | Role |
|-------|------|
| PRESENT_DAY_RETRIEVABLE | ESMIS TXT + sha256 now |
| DIRECT_AUTHORITATIVE_RELEASE_EVIDENCE_DATE_LEVEL | TXT masthead `Released Month Day, Year` |
| OFFICIAL_POLICY_CLOCK | NASS survey guide **4:00 PM ET** first business day (policy, not per-issue proven) |
| SECONDARY_TIMESTAMP_EVIDENCE_HTTP_LAST_MODIFIED | Server mtime; migration vs same-day |
| ARCHIVE_WITNESS_ATTEMPTED_UNAVAILABLE | Wayback CDX TLS failure this pass |
| OFFICIAL_DELAY_NOTICE | 2018-09-10 |

## Counts
| Metric | N |
|--------|--:|
| Issue rows | 212 |
| Ordinary weekly | 211 |
| Live TXT `Released` line OK | 211 |
| `Released` matches ESMIS issue date | 211 |
| Seasons full date-level official | **16**/16 |
| Seasons full same-day LM (2019–2025 regime) | **7**/16 |

Availability status rollup: `{'DATE_LEVEL_OFFICIAL_LM_NOT_CONTEMPORANEOUS': 118, 'DELAY_NOTICE_NOT_ORDINARY_PACKAGE': 1, 'DATE_LEVEL_OFFICIAL_PLUS_SAME_DAY_LM_SECONDARY': 93}`

## BAR ≥12
Under date-level OFFICIAL package 'Released' narrative (calendar day only), 16/16 scaffold seasons have full Jul–Sep ordinary-week coverage — BAR≥12 still plausible. Under a stricter rule requiring same-day HTTP Last-Modified (2019–2025 regime only), only 7 seasons clear — that stricter cut would FAIL BAR≥12. Final eligible_seasons still UNKNOWN; origin protocol + survey-regime gates still open. Not declaring H01_A_FEASIBILITY_INSUFFICIENT on this overlay alone.

- **BAR_12:** HELD  
- **eligible_seasons:** UNKNOWN (not claiming final N)  
- **H01_A_FEASIBILITY_INSUFFICIENT:** NOT declared on this overlay alone

## Gate impact
`G_PREDICTOR_GE_PRESENCE` → presence complete + availability overlay **applied**; **intraday `public_release_at` still UNKNOWN**; gate not fully closed until origin protocol reviews date-level vs intraday rule.

Parallel still open: `G_REVISION_PROTOCOL`, `G_SURVEY_REGIME_COMPARABILITY`.

## Notable
- **2018-09-10** DELAY_NOTICE; companion **2018-09-11** ordinary.
- Pre-2019 LM mostly **2018-09-17 ESMIS migration** — not first-availability proof.
- 2019–2025 LM same calendar day ~20:00/21:00 UTC ≈ 4pm ET — secondary only.
- Progress **4pm ET** is **after** Crop Production **noon ET** on a shared day → same-day Progress ≠ automatic pre-origin.

## Rules
FREEZE=NO · MODEL_CHANGE=NO · REAL_CAPITAL=NOT_AUTHORIZED · TARGETS_CLOSED