{
  "protocol_id": "sealed-historical-challenge-01",
  "version": "0.1",
  "status": "PROTOCOL_DESIGN_ONLY",
  "model_change": false,
  "hub_job": "b73c292a-16e2-4f11-9370-1337d0239791",
  "james_message_id": "4b9818bb",
  "drafter": "grok",
  "created_at_utc": "2026-09-10T20:54:00Z",
  "created_at_pt": "2026-09-10 ~1:55 PM PT",
  "primary_horizon_months": 24,
  "primary_horizon_status": "PROPOSAL_PENDING_ASTRA_FREEZE",
  "secondary_horizon_months_proposal": 60,
  "target_n_cases": {
    "min": 6,
    "max": 10
  },
  "markdown_path": "/workspace/srp-observatory/docs/sealed-historical-challenge-01/PROTOCOL_v0_1.md",
  "markdown_sha256": "d33a8c3a561d21bb9fb0144005c97a802e4c5b3ff43a311c0c61fce6d8e6144f",
  "hub_slugs": {
    "markdown": "sealed-historical-challenge-01-protocol",
    "json": "sealed-historical-challenge-01-protocol.json"
  },
  "output_labels": {
    "A": {
      "name": "institutional_recovery_capacity",
      "proposed": [
        "NORMAL",
        "IMPAIRED",
        "UNKNOWN"
      ],
      "measurability": "INFEASIBLE",
      "v0_1_emission": "UNKNOWN_ONLY",
      "reason": "Recovery constructs UNKNOWN/INSUFFICIENT; L1 authorized for own construct only"
    },
    "B": {
      "name": "elite_structural_rigidity",
      "proposed": [
        "LOW",
        "MODERATE",
        "HIGH",
        "UNKNOWN"
      ],
      "measurability": "INFEASIBLE",
      "v0_1_emission": "UNKNOWN_PLUS_HOUSE_DESCRIPTIVE_ANNEX",
      "reason": "Rigidity-01 House SUPPORTED_DESCRIPTIVELY only; no Senate generalization; no causality; RIGIDITY-02 blocked"
    },
    "C": {
      "name": "cross_system_propagation_susceptibility",
      "proposed": [
        "LOW",
        "MODERATE",
        "HIGH",
        "UNKNOWN"
      ],
      "measurability": "INFEASIBLE",
      "v0_1_emission": "UNKNOWN",
      "reason": "Exp001 CLOSED/INSUFFICIENT; coupling incomplete"
    },
    "D": {
      "name": "disturbance_persistence_susceptibility",
      "proposed": [
        "LOW",
        "MODERATE",
        "HIGH",
        "UNKNOWN"
      ],
      "measurability": "INFEASIBLE",
      "v0_1_emission": "UNKNOWN",
      "reason": "Exp002 INSUFFICIENT; no ratchet"
    },
    "E": {
      "name": "most_vulnerable_measured_subsystem",
      "proposed": [
        "<construct>",
        "UNKNOWN"
      ],
      "measurability": "PARTIAL_MOSTLY_UNKNOWN",
      "v0_1_emission": "UNKNOWN_DEFAULT",
      "reason": "Cross-subsystem ranking unfinished; S1/E2 parked unless exact quantity permitted"
    },
    "F": {
      "name": "overall_system_response_assessment",
      "proposed": [
        "RESILIENT",
        "MIXED",
        "FRAGILE",
        "UNKNOWN"
      ],
      "measurability": "INFEASIBLE",
      "v0_1_emission": "UNKNOWN_REQUIRED_DEFAULT",
      "reason": "Resilience/Phase/Load/Sync/PPS/Alert UNKNOWN; must not compute from L1 alone"
    }
  },
  "outcome_classes": [
    "ABSORBED",
    "PERSISTENT",
    "PROPAGATED",
    "SYSTEMIC_STRESS",
    "AMBIGUOUS"
  ],
  "allowlist": {
    "L1_US_v0_1": {
      "enter": true,
      "score_authorized": true,
      "scope": "own_construct_only"
    },
    "M1": {
      "enter_as_predictor": false,
      "score_authorized": 0,
      "note": "construct-diagnostic only"
    },
    "rigidity01_house_descriptive": {
      "enter": true,
      "interpretation": "SUPPORTED_DESCRIPTIVELY_ONLY"
    },
    "rigidity02": {
      "enter": false,
      "blocked": true
    },
    "exp001": {
      "enter": false,
      "status": "CLOSED_INSUFFICIENT"
    },
    "exp002": {
      "enter": false,
      "status": "INSUFFICIENT_NO_RATCHET"
    },
    "s1_e2": {
      "enter": "conditional_exact_quantity_only",
      "else": "UNKNOWN"
    },
    "aggregates_phase_load_sync_pps_alert_resilience_coupling": {
      "enter": false,
      "status": "UNKNOWN_INSUFFICIENT"
    }
  },
  "baselines": [
    "B0",
    "B1",
    "B2",
    "PARTIAL_SRP"
  ],
  "equal_information_rule": true,
  "result_enums": [
    "SUPPORTED_EXPLORATORILY",
    "MIXED",
    "NOT_SUPPORTED",
    "INSUFFICIENT"
  ],
  "independence": {
    "claude": "independent_protocol_method_challenge",
    "codex": "pit_leakage_case_bundle_integrity",
    "grok": "implement_after_accept",
    "astra": "final_protocol_adjudication_synthesis"
  },
  "not_authorized": [
    "case_selection",
    "future_outcome_inspection",
    "srp_historical_analysis",
    "threshold_tuning",
    "model_changes",
    "srp_scoring_changes",
    "exp001_resurrection",
    "exp002_ratchet",
    "rigidity01_senate_or_causality_generalization",
    "rigidity02",
    "production_alerts",
    "l9_validation_claim"
  ],
  "unknown_policy": "UNKNOWN_neq_0_neq_absence_of_risk",
  "blinding": {
    "separate_selector_from_analysis": true,
    "no_cases_until_protocol_freeze": true,
    "no_famous_crisis_nomination": true
  }
}